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According to the statistical data of the Bus Branch of the China Highway Society, 117,925 vehicles of various types were sold in the first half of this year, an increase of 6.15% over the same period of the previous year. Among them, 67,643 units were road passenger cars, down 4.69% year-on-year. This year, the sales of road passenger cars have experienced the first negative growth in the past five years.
So, with the intensive concentration of high-speed rail networks, will the sales of road passenger cars decline year by year? What kind of changes will be made to future models of road passenger cars? On September 2, during an exclusive interview with an expert in the industry (hereafter referred to as the expert) who asked not to be named, the reporter vaguely saw the future development of the highway bus.
There is still room for growth in the market
For the future market of highway passenger cars, the expert's attitude is: not disappointed, not pessimistic. His judgment is that there is still room for growth for highway passenger cars.
Although the expert also believes that the road passenger transport market this year is very difficult, many of the customers he contacts this year are in extremely poor operating conditions. However, he believes that this year is a special year and does not mean that domestic roads The bus market will deteriorate year by year in the future. “This year, the high-speed rail network's intensification, coupled with the economic situation is not good, and the tourism market is not good, so we say that the unfavorable factors in the road passenger transport market this year may be relatively more and concentrated.â€
In his attitude, not only do not have to be disappointed with this year's highway passenger car market, and not to be pessimistic about the future market, because, in his view, there is still a new growth point for highway passenger cars.
“As the high-speed rail network is becoming more dense, the structure of the road passenger transport will be adjusted and will be adjusted from the long-term to the short-term. This short-term and medium-term line may have been originally, but it is small and relatively scattered. With no other move, passenger transport companies only have Can work hard in this area, so this piece will still develop." The expert said that although the high-speed rail network took away some of the long-haul market for road passenger transport, but it also derived a large number of high-speed rail connection with the short-term market .
In addition, he also believes that urban and rural road passenger transport developed in the form of urban and rural public transportation will also be a new growth point for the future road passenger transport market. “Actually, as we go further, urban and rural public transport are actually the result of the gradual integration of road passenger transport and public transport. Up to the county level, many of these areas are without professional public transport. The road passenger transport is similar to urban and rural public transport. To complete, so this part of the passenger market may be partially obscured by bus models, but overall, urban and rural road passenger transport will still develop."
In addition, the expert also told reporters that many of the original gold lines in the road passenger transport will not be completely affected by the high-speed rail. “At the end of last year, when I was watching the Spring Festival, I noticed that after a high-speed rail impact on a certain gold line of the Changchun highway, revenue and profits fell significantly, but it took them three years to recover.â€
Mid-size car market can be expected
Since the future pattern of the road passenger transport market will change, the models it uses will naturally change with it.
According to statistics from the Bus Branch of the China Highway Institute, in the first half of this year, sales of large-scale highway passenger cars were 16,601 vehicles, down 16.9% year-on-year; sales of medium-sized road passenger cars were 20,701, an increase of 2.48% year-on-year. From this set of data, it can be seen that under the overall decline of the road passenger car market this year, the sales volume of large-scale road passenger cars has rapidly declined, and the sales volume of medium-sized road passenger cars has risen against the trend.
For this trend, the expert judges that the future will continue to exist. “In the future, during the adjustment of medium-to-short-term and medium-to-short-term passenger transport, the structure of passenger vehicles will develop in the medium-sized direction.†In addition, the urban and rural passenger transport market, which he judges as one of the new growth points in the passenger transport market in the future, will further increase the The structure of passenger vehicle models has been developing toward a medium-sized model. It is understood that the urban and rural passenger transport market in the form of urban and rural public transportation will require mainly medium-sized vehicles.
In the recent Shenzhen Expo, the Yutong Bus, which has been called the industry vane, brought two new passenger cars. One is the ZK6118H1Y, a ten-meter-different vehicle that has been unveiled at the Beijing Auto Show in May. The meters for the meters can carry the number of seats for the 11-meter body; the other one is the Yutong New 6-series intercity passenger car ZK6876H.
Obviously, the “10 meter difference†ZK6118H1Y represents Yutong’s promising future for medium-sized models; the 6-series intercity passenger car ZK6876H is a medium-sized vehicle developed for the new passenger market connected with high-speed rails. To a certain extent, the two new vehicles revealed that Yutong buses are using newer, more profitable mid-sized vehicles to deal with the slump in the passenger transport market.
"This should be one of Yutong's countermeasures to deal with the unfavorable factors in this year's passenger transport market." The expert said that Yutong has always taken the market demand as a starting point and changed in a timely manner, aiming at a new situation to introduce more market-adapted models.
The market of passenger cars declining