The "two highs and one capital" nature of the alkali industry and the current economic climate continue to put pressure on the sector. However, recent policy adjustments have brought some relief. On August 15, the State Administration of Taxation announced that the Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation issued a circular adjusting the VAT rate for industrial and edible salt. Starting September 1, 2007, the VAT rate for sodium chloride-based salts—such as sea salt, well salt, and lake salt—was reduced from 17% to 13%. This change not only eased the operational challenges faced by the salt industry but also provided significant benefits to the two major alkali industries that rely heavily on salt as a raw material.
Previously, the VAT rate for salt products was uniformly set at 17%. According to rough estimates, this adjustment is expected to boost the profits of the salt industry by approximately 600 million yuan. Combined with the tax revenue standard adjustment in February, the total profit increase for the salt industry could reach nearly 1 billion yuan.
As major consumers of salt, the two alkali industries use about 28% of the raw salt in their production processes. According to data from the China Salt Industry Association, from January to June 2007, total salt consumption reached 34.02 million tons, up 26% compared to the same period last year. Out of this, 27.1 million tons were used by the two alkali industries, marking a 30% increase and accounting for 79.7% of total usage. Industry forecasts suggest that in 2007, new production capacity for soda ash and caustic soda will reach 2 million and 2.7 million tons respectively, requiring around 2.7 million tons of raw salt. With the VAT rate reduction, the two alkali industries could see an efficiency gain of 12.96 million yuan.
Shandong Haihua Group, currently the largest salt chemical company in China, produces 2 million tons of raw salt annually, while its alkali production consumes approximately 3.5 million tons of raw salt each year. Based on current salt prices, the company estimates that after the tax adjustment, sea salt prices would drop by 4.8 yuan per ton, leading to a profit increase of 9.6 million yuan for the 2 million tons of raw salt used. Additionally, the company's "two alkalis" products are expected to benefit from a tax reduction of around 8.4 million yuan.
Despite these positive developments, industry experts caution against over-optimism and excessive expansion. The two alkali products fall under the "two highs and one capital" category, which remains subject to strict government controls. Moreover, the supply of crude salt is highly sensitive to weather and market fluctuations. A recent report from the National Development and Reform Commission highlighted that the high-grade brine in the Haiyan area, responsible for nearly 50% of national salt production, has been severely affected this year. As a result, sea salt production is likely to be impacted. In July, salt prices in Shandong and Hebei rose by 20 to 25 yuan per ton, which will inevitably affect the production costs of the two alkali industries.
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